Strawberry Elephant: what we know about its actual odds

Sources: Official Roblox source · Independent reference; not primary rate evidence

Result

Odds not verified. The official listing checked explains buying and stealing brainrots, but provides no numerical Strawberry Elephant rate. A number in an outside table does not confirm the game's algorithm.

Keep methods separate

A conveyor spawn, an administrator intervention and a reward from another system are different experiments. A collection shown in a video also does not count failed attempts.

Before chasing it

1. Identify the exact method described by the source.
2. Find a creator table or a current in-game screen with a date and conditions.
3. Check whether it describes base luck, an event or a guarantee.
4. Without that evidence, keep the rate unknown.

A useful decision

Editorial advice: do not plan waiting hours or spending around unsupported percentages. Set a personal time limit and keep developing your base; that limit is a choice, not an estimate of the next spawn.

Even a confirmed rate would not guarantee success after a fixed number of attempts. We lack evidence to calculate that wait here.